R E S E A R C H    I N T E R E S T S



  • Research interests include Computer Simulators and fisheries economics.
    My current focus is on fisheries management, policy, fishermen's economics and sociological aspects. I recently worked on a research for the lobster fishery, and two economic simulators of the Otter trawler fishery in New England. The economic simulator called OTTER has been demonstrated and distributed at several fishermen forums and to fishermen organizations, to the New England Fishery Management Council and several offices of the National Marine Fisheries Service. It has been used in development of amendments for the New England Multispecies Fisheries Plan.

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    D O C T O R A L    T H E S I S  


My Ph.D. dissertation is titled "A Synthetic Approach to Forecasting Fleet Costs and Earnings in The New England Otter Trawl Fishery"
Below you will find links to my thesis' chapters in PDF format. You will need the Acrobat© Reader program to open them.

Get the  Acrobat reader here!





    O T T E R ©   v e r s i o n    2


  1. Introduction
  2. The first OTTER simulator was developed by Gates and Crutchfield (1984). It was based on older, mainframe based simulation programs developed at Texas A & M University and at the National Marine Fishery Service Northeast Regional Center in Gloucester, MA (Crutchfield, 1986). OTTER version 1 performed three basic sets of calculations. First, it estimates the monthly and annual gross stock (i.e. total revenue) for a given type of vessel using a number of vessel characteristics. Second, annual costs are estimated, here too based on vessel operating patterns and characteristics. Finally, costs and revenues are divided under the chosen lay system between owner, captain and crew. This yields estimates of economic surplus (revenues less operating and opportunity costs) for crew and captain (Crutchfield, 1986).

    When OTTER was first designed (circa 1982), there was a profound sense of dissatisfaction in the industry with fisheries management in general and fisheries economics in particular. There was no shortage of models telling fishers and managers what they "ought to do". There was however, very little available to monitor the economic status of the fleet or to describe differential impacts on various sectors of the fleets. A program was initiated by Dr. John M. Gates of the University of Rhode Island and Mr. Joseph Mueller and Ms. Patricia Kurkul of NMFS regional office (NERO), Gloucester. This cooperative effort led to the collection of vessel economics data, an "in house" main frame simulator at NERO, and eventually to a PC based simulator which solved issues of access and confidentiality with the in house version.
    Otter version 2 was developed by Lallemand and Gates (1992). Like its predecessor, OTTER version 2 calculates revenues, costs and net incomes to boat, captain, crew and total for New England otter trawler vessels by size, port, gear type, skill, month and year. Six ports were added to the choice of eight ports already existing in the previous version. Choices on Otter fishing gear configurations were also added. In addition, Otter version 2 has the capability to display several bar graphs on revenues, costs and surpluses.
    OTTER version 3 was developed by Lallemand (1999) thanks to the improvement and integration of friendlier and more powerful spreadsheets programs like Microsoft Excel 97. Indeed, most recent spreadsheets not only have the ability to display a wide range of graphics and charts but workbooks can also be composed of programming modules like macros commands and customized menus. The programming power of new spreadsheet software, ActiveX controls and OLE technology allow program developers to take short cuts when writing the program codes. They no longer need to write redundant codes for commands executing common tasks or for the rendering of pre-defined designs. Most familiar tasks and designs have been pre-programmed and are easily accessible to the programmer.


  3. The Otter Economic Simulator, version 2
  4. OTTER© Trawler Simulator version 2.0 is programed and designed in Quick Basic 4.5. The program OTTER version 2 calculates revenues, costs and net incomes to boat, captain, crew and total for New England otter trawler vessels by size, port, gear type, month and year. Several tables summarize the different computations.

    Here is an overview of the version 2 in PDF format:


    Get the  Acrobat reader here!



  5. Download OTTER© version 2
  6. You may download the executable version of the program free of charge. Otter 2.0 was written in QuickBasic version 4.5. This compiled executable version will only run on an IBM Compatible Computer (under Windows 3.1, Windows 95/ 98/ NT/ 2000/ XP or MS-Dos version 5.0 or later) ! After downloading the file in the "C:\" directory, run the self extract file "OTTERDEM.EXE" or "OTTERFUL.EXE" (demo or full version respectively)....this will automatically unzip the files and start the program "OTTER.EXE" if you installed the program in the "C:\Otter" directory!

    Note: Click (while holding the "Shift" Key on your Keyboard if you are using Netscape) on the following icon to download the self extract version of the software OTTER© Trawler Simulator.

    1. download otterful.exe   otterful.exe (1,577 Kb).   (Otter Full Version).

    2. download otterdem.exe   otterdem.exe (1,396 Kb).   (Otter Demo Version, will fit on a 3 ½ inch floppy disk).

    3. download otterdat.exe   otterdat.exe (156 Kb).   (Otter data year, 1982 to 1997).


  7. OTTER© version 2 sample screens


  8. The following show some sample screens from the program.



    1. Welcome Screen

    2. Otter© 2 - Welcome Screen


    3. Vessel Profile Screen

    4. Otter© 2 - Vessel Profile


    5. Gross Stock results

    6. Otter© 2 - Gross Stock


    7. Gross Stock Chart

    8. Otter© 2 - Revenue Chart







    O T T E R ©   v e r s i o n    3


  1. The Otter Economic Simulator, version 3
  2. OTTER version 3.0, like its predecessor (see Lallemand and Gates, 1992-98), calculates revenues, costs and total net incomes for New England otter trawler vessels by size, port, gear type, month and year. However the new version allows for fishing gear/ specie combination distinction for each month. Also, in its present form and for the limited purpose of the study herein, the simulator only calculates total surplus; there is no output on surplus for boat, crew or captain. An updated version in the near future will undoubtedly fill this gap.
    OTTER Version 3.0 follows most of the principles found in version 2. However the newer version is essentially composed of charts (2 dimensional and 3 dimensional) with several hidden tables not accessible by the user. Each screen contains controls, which provide the user with a finite number of options.
    OTTER version 3.0 was programmed in Microsoft Excel 97 and makes intensive use of Visual Basic macro commands as well as Excel macro commands (version 4). The macro commands, when invoked, launch automated application such as running the simulation or changing the profile. The simulator also includes hidden sheets with tables containing estimated parameters generated by both the Gross Stock and Cost regression models for the years 1982 to 1998. Other tables contain descriptive statistics (essentially modes and means) on exvessel prices (by specie, gear, port and year) and on several other variables used in the simulator (e.g. Days absent, vessel characteristics, etc.).
    Because most of the parameters were estimated independently for each year, the simulator can easily be updated to reflect new information (i.e. from new regressions) by expanding some of the tables mentioned above.
    OTTER, in its present form, allows the user to do only infra-temporal comparisons between user defined scenarios and/ or vessel characteristics based on specific assumptions. The Simulator is still in its development stage and could definitely be improved to allow not only for infra-temporal comparisons but also for inter-temporal comparisons between scenarios. One can imagine charts showing various revenue, cost and surplus trend lines over time.

    Here is an overview of the version 3 in PDF format:


    Get the  Acrobat reader here!



    or you can download the self extract zipped MS Excel file "Otter Trawler Simulator 3.xls". You will need Microsoft Excel version 97 or later to run the simulator.

    download OtterXLS.exe   OtterXLS.exe (1,459 Kb).   (Otter XLS 3.0 Full Version).



  3. OTTER© version 3 sample screens


  4. The following show some sample screens from the program.



    1. Welcome Screen

    2. Otter© 3 - Welcome Screen


    3. Revenue, cost and surplus for a range of vessel size

    4. Otter© 3 - info by vessel size


    5. Revenue, cost and surplus for a specific vessel

    6. Otter© 3 - info on specific vessel


    7. Surplus for a range of vessel size and effort level

    8. Otter© 3 - surplus for a range of vessels







    S I M L O B G R A P H ©   v e r s i o n   3


  1. SimlobGRAPH© version 3: An add-on for a bioeconomic simulator
  2. SimlobGRAPH© is designed to be used in conjunction with SIMLOB© version 3.0 (copyright© 1998-2002, MARSEA ASSOCIATES). SIMLOB© is a program designed to run a Lobster Bioeconomic Model.
    SimlobGRAPH© was designed in Microsoft Excel 97. SimlobGRAPH© is an Excel spreadsheet with macros to automate reading, importation of output files created by the program SIMLOB©. SimlobGRAPH© then allows the user to display custom defined charts on biology or economics simulations. The information available to SimlobGRAPH© are the estimate stock size, weight, fishing effort, catch, various cost and producers' profit over time. Many of the model parameters describing lobster resource characteristics and fishing effort can be control. SIMLOB© enables users to estimate the impact of different resource scenarios and management strategies on the lobster industry, SimlobGRAPH© help with the interpretation of the results.

    You can download a demo version of SimlobGRAPH.xls. Click on the following link to download the self extract zipped MS Excel file "SimlobGRAPH_demo.exe". You will need Microsoft Excel version 97 or later to load the file.

    download SimlobGRAPH_demo.exe   SimlobGRAPH_demo.exe (2,407 Kb).   (SimlobGRAPH 3.0 Demo Version).



  3. SimlobGRAPH© sample screens


  4. The following show some sample screens from the program.



    1. Welcome Screen

    2. SimlobGRAPH© 3 - Welcome Screen


    3. Dialog Box used to read the SIMLOB© Output

    4. SimlobGRAPH© 3 - Import Dialogbox


    5. Example of Dialog Box used to select what data to display

    6. SimlobGRAPH© 3 - bio chart dialogbox


    7. Sample Chart on Economic Data

    8. SimlobGRAPH© 3 - cost data chart


    9. Sample Chart on Biological Data

    10. SimlobGRAPH© 3 - biological data Chart




    L I T E R A T U R E    C I T E D


  1. Crutchfield, Stephen R. 1986. "Personal Computer Simulations of Two New England Trawl Fisheries". Fisheries Research. Vol. 44, pp. 157-165.

  2. Lallemand, Philippe and John M. Gates. 1992-1998. "Otter" version 2 and 3, A vessel economic Simulator of the New England Otter Trawl fishery, University of Rhode Island, dept. of Environmental and Natural Resource Economics .

  3. Gates, John M and Andrew Kitts. 1996. "A Cooperative Proposal for Surveying and Monitoring The Economic Status of Northeast Fishing Vessels", NOAA/ URI Cooperative Marine Education & Research (CMER) Program, URI LOG # 9596-0585.

  4. Gates, John M., Stephen R. Crutchfield and Patricia Kurkul. 1984. "Financial Simulator for Fishing Vessels", A paper presented at the Northeast Business and Economics Association, November 8-9.

  5. Lallemand, Philippe, John M. Gates, Joel B. Dirlam and Jung-Hee Cho. 1998. "The Cost of Small Trawlers in The Northeast", NOAA/ URI Cooperative Marine Education & Research (CMER) Program, Rhode Island Agricultural Experiment Station Contribution No. 3622.

  6. Lallemand, Philippe, John M. Gates and Jung-Hee Cho. 1999. "The Cost of Large Trawlers in The Northeast", NOAA/ URI Cooperative Marine Education & Research (CMER) Program, Rhode Island Agricultural Experiment Station Contribution No. 3727